Monday, May 01, 2006

Angel Berroa Study

STrat-O-Matic Musings and Stats

Angel Berroa Study

My 2nd study on the Royals this year is a much simpler task. I am fascinated and disgusted watching Angel Berroa year after year and his insistence he doesn't need to adapt to the league in the way he bats. My study is simple and two fold. I chart whenever I catch a Berroa at bat 2 stats. 1. How often does Berroa swing at the 1rst pitch? This measures something that can reveal how aggressive he is. This stat is available from places like Baseball Info Solutions and Stats Inc. But these days you have to pay for these stats so I'll do it my way. I know the number will be high. I've read major league hitters hit over .300 on 1rst pitch. This suggests a smart strategy- sometimes yes but usually it is not as factor in foul balls and 0-1 the average is poor. .300 is a good batting average but a terrible on base % since you can't walk hitting the 1rst pitch. 2. How often in the 1rst 3 pitches does Berroa fall behind the count? The hypothesis here is simple hitters hit worse when the count is in the pitchers favor.

For April 1rst pitch swinging 8/20 40% of the time. Ugh He was actually doing pretty well until he began hacking last few days of month. Early on he usually took the first pitch but usually it was a strike so he couldn't win.

times he fell behind in the count in 1rst 3 pitches- 15/20 75% - wow - stat says it all- good luck my Angel of Death- at least you make up for it in the field ((-7 Defensive Runs Rating)

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